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DTN Midday Grain Comments 01/23 10:50
Corn, Soybean Futures Higher at Midday; Wheat Mixed
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
9 to 10 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 1 cent higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
9 to 10 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 1 cent higher. The
U.S. stock market is mixed with the S&P 10 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 3 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
mixed with crude off .50 with natural gas .02 higher. Livestock trade is mostly
higher with cattle leading again. Precious metals are mixed with gold down
14.50.
CORN:
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday with flat to firm spread
action as front-month trade again scores fresh highs as we continue to get more
overbought. Ethanol margins continue to narrow with corn strength and unleaded
weakness for now. Weekly export sales are delayed until Friday with
expectations of 700,000 to 900,000 metric tons (mt). Basis action will likely
return to a lower drift if futures strength holds with good movement into the
hands of the commercials. On the March chart, the 20-day moving average at
$4.66 is support with the fresh high at $4.92 3/4 as resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 8 to 11 cents higher with products firming as trade
works back toward the upper end of the range after early weakness. Meal is 1.50
to 2.50 higher and oil is 30 to 40 points higher. South America weather remains
in the recent pattern with eventual relief for Argentina expected later in the
month with early harvest set to expand soon in Brazil. Weekly export sales are
expected to be in the 500,000 to 800,000 mt range Friday. Basis should
stabilize and remain more toward flat near term. On the March chart, trade has
support at the 20-day moving average at $10.18, with the fresh high at $10.73
1/2 the next level of resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 1 cent higher with trade holding near the
upper end of the recent range but the dollar stabilizing has limited further
momentum with row-crop spillover more limited Thursday. The Plains are expected
to be mostly warmer and drier into the end of the month. MATIF wheat is flat
this morning as well with little change to Black Sea weather in the short term.
Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 300,000 to 500,000 mt. On the KC
March chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $5.55, which we snapped
back above Wednesday, with the Upper Bollinger Band at $5.76 as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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